Cuba’s Unresolved Civil War
- Richard N. Holwill
- Content Type
- Journal Article
- The Ambassador's Review
- Publication Date
- Spring 2021
- Council of American Ambassadors
- The U.S. policy of normalization toward Cuba in the Barack Obama Administration was reversed by President Donald Trump, largely because it failed to address an underlying issue. The Cuban “revolution,” though consolidated on the Island, was soundly rejected by the Cuban exile community who view their country as mired in an unresolved civil war. The importance of the Florida vote was sufficient to prompt President Trump to “cancel” President Obama’s efforts at normalization. Meaningful change will require a more comprehensive approach to the challenge of implementing an effective Cuba policy.
In truth, there is no justification for overt hostility toward Cuba. The Cold War is over, and the role that Cuba played in that conflict – an alliance with the Soviets, exporting violent revolution and doctrinaire socialism – has ended, as well. Going forward, the Biden Administration must adjust policies to reflect the fact that Cuba is on the verge of becoming a failed state, which would have negative consequences for the United States.
- Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, Fragile/Failed State, Conflict, Regionalism
- Political Geography
- Cuba, Caribbean, North America, United States of America