Forecasting Models and the Presidential Vote

Author
Kenneth Wink
Content Type
Journal Article
Journal
Political Science Quarterly
Volume
134
Issue Number
2
Publication Date
Summer 2019
Institution
Academy of Political Science
Abstract
Kenneth A. Wink compares and contrasts a number of U.S. presidential election forecasting models and finds that some perform better than others. He argues that some systematic factors have an impact in every election regardless of the characteristics of the candidates, the effectiveness of the campaigns, and the events that occur in a particular election year.
Topic
Government, Elections, Political Science, Quantitative
Political Geography
North America, United States of America