THE STABILITY-INSTABILITY PANDEMIC

Author
Evan Perkoski
Content Type
Commentary and Analysis
Institution
Political Violence @ A Glance
Abstract
Will the COVID-19 pandemic increase or decrease conflict around the globe? Across myriad blog posts and op-eds, a consensus appears to be emerging: in the short term, the global community may experience a pax epidemia, as Barry Posen refers to it, where “the odds of a war between major powers will go down, not up.” But the opposite may be true for intrastate conflict—e.g. civil wars and insurgencies—where conditions seem ripe for more turbulent subnational politics.
Topic
Conflict Prevention, War, Conflict, COVID-19, Armed Conflict
Political Geography
Global Focus