Immanent Conflict without Immanent War

Author
Helle Malmvig, Jakob Dreyer
Content Type
Policy Brief
Institution
Danish Institute for International Studies
Abstract
• Denmark should focus its attention on the border region between Iraq and Syria, which presents a high risk of insurgency, and is where the main Danish military contingency has been deployed since 2015. • Given the likely partial US withdrawal from Iraq, NATO and European governments should prepare for taking on new tasks and responsibilities. • The US-led coalition should allow and prepare SDF to negotiate alternative political/security arrangements, as SDF may have difficulty sustaining its presence in Syria.
Topic
Non State Actors, Fragile States, Islamic State, Syrian War, Proxy War
Political Geography
Iraq, Middle East, Syria