Incumbency Advantage in U.S. Presidential Elections: The Historical Record

Author
David R. Mayhew
Content Type
Journal Article
Journal
Political Science Quarterly
Volume
123
Issue Number
2
Publication Date
Summer 2008
Institution
Academy of Political Science
Abstract
David R. Mayhew examines U.S. presidential elections from 1788 through 2004. He highlights the importance of incumbency advantage. He concludes that in-office parties have kept the White House two-thirds of the time when they have run incumbent candidates, but they have fared only 50-50 in open-seat elections.
Political Geography
United States