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1. The Western Sahara conflict has been described as a ‘frozen conflict’ and as ‘decolonisation’s last stand.’ Despite the multiple ceasefires throughout its history, the conflict has not been fully resolved. Since 1974, Western Sahara has been on the shortlist of non-self-governing territories. However, it is the only one on the list that has not condoned this status. The Polisario Front spent 50 years fighting for the independence of the Sahrawi Arab Republic from Morocco, mostly using arms and guerrilla warfare. This period of violence was followed by a ceasefire between the two stakeholders. Nonetheless, in 2020, Morocco’s response to the Sahrawi protests resulted in a resumption of fighting by the Polisario Front, essentially reopening ‘Pandora’s Box’ and showing that, despite the ceasefire, a permanent solution is urgently needed. This would need to happen within the broader African security landscape, which is currently experiencing a shift amidst the weakening of United Nations (UN) peacekeeping operations, the growing presence of various private military companies (PMC), and the emerging role of countries such as Russia and Türkiye in African conflict situations. Considering the aforementioned changes, this article seeks to assess whether these shifts in the African security landscape will influence the situation in Western Sahara by maintaining the status quo or revitalising the efforts to resolve or exacerbate the existing tensions.

2. R2P Monitor, Issue 68, 1 March 2024

3. R2P Monitor, Issue 70, 1 September 2024

4. R2P Monitor, Issue 71, 1 December 2024

5. R2P Monitor, Issue 67, 1 December 2023

6. R2P Monitor, Issue 66, 1 September 2023

7. R2P Monitor, Issue 65, 1 June 2023

8. R2P Monitor, Issue 64, 1 March 2023

9. On Designating the 14-Mile Area in the Cooperation Agreement: Missteps and Implications for Peace in South Sudan

10. Transferring Policy: The African Union’s Protection of Civilians Policy in Peacekeeping Missions in Somalia and South Sudan

11. Worsening Risk of Mass Atrocities in South Sudan

12. Pay Day Loans and Backroom Empires: South Sudan’s Political Economy since 2018

13. Oxfam’s Engagement with Refugee-led Organisations in West Nile (Uganda): Lessons on opportunities and challenges

14. Local Perceptions of UN Peacekeeping: A Look at the Data

15. Changing Lakes State? Rin Tueny’s Inclusive Deterrence Approach in Practice

16. Research Report: Women’s Meaningful Participation in Post-Conflict: Mechanisms and Challenges in Colombia, Nepal and South Sudan

17. Survivor-Centred Justice for Gender-Based Violence in Complex Situations

18. Gearing Up the Fight Against Impunity: Dedicated Investigative and Prosecutorial Capacities

19. Lives at Risk: A study of girls dropping out of school in Juba, Rumbek and Pibor Counties, South Sudan

20. Immediate Risk of Mass Atrocities in South Sudan