Political Geography: Israel / Publication Year: within 10 Years and within 5 Years

601. China’s Alternative Vision for Gulf Security

Author:: Tuvia Gering
Publication Date:: 11-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Trump’s Middle East peace plan and the recent Israel-Arab peace accords limit Chinese influence in the region. Countering this, China is advancing a collective security concept for the region based on the JCPOA. The US and Israel must stymie this Chinese gambit and reinforce the Abraham Accords.
Topic:: Security, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Hegemony, Peace, and Regionalism
Political Geography:: China, Middle East, Israel, Asia, North America, and United States of America

602. Why Israelis Like Trump

Author:: Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 11-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: From his rejection of Obama-era political correctness to his family make-up, Trump has charmed Israelis.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Bilateral Relations, Governance, Elections, and Leadership
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, North America, and United States of America

603. Egypt’s Support of Normalization is part of the Mediterranean Alignment

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 11-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Egypt’s public welcome of the normalization between Israel and the UAE, Bahrain and Sudan is one of the payoffs emerging from the important Egypt-Israel partnership in the eastern Mediterranean.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Peace, and Normalization
Political Geography:: Africa, Middle East, Israel, and Egypt

604. Rabin’s True Legacy

Author:: Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 10-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Prime Minister Rabin insisted on defensible borders. He never entertained a return to the 1967 borders nor any territorial swaps.
Topic:: Security, Military Strategy, Governance, Leadership, and Borders
Political Geography:: Middle East and Israel

605. The Lebanese-Israeli Maritime Border Talks: An Important Step Forward

Author:: Joshua Krasna
Publication Date:: 10-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The talks suggest that when common interests exist, Israel can engage beneficially and pragmatically even with enemies, resulting in de-escalation and mutual benefit.
Topic:: Security, Diplomacy, Territorial Disputes, Maritime, and Borders
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Lebanon

606. The Israeli Interest: Keep Syria Weak

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 10-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Israel should reject any overtures from the Assad government, and help keep “maximum pressure” on the regime.
Topic:: Governance, Leadership, Fragile States, and Political stability
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Syria

607. France Needs Israel as a Strong and Firm Ally

Author:: Olivier Rafowicz
Publication Date:: 09-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Is President Macron capable of reshaping Franco-Israeli relations?
Topic:: Diplomacy, Bilateral Relations, Leadership, and Alliance
Political Geography:: Europe, Middle East, Israel, and France

608. Stabilizing forces growing stronger

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 09-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The peace deals between Israel, the UAE and Bahrain mark the completion of an existing process by which the region’s stabilizing forces are banding together against the Iranian threat.
Topic:: Security, Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Military Strategy, Political stability, and Strategic Stability
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, Israel, Bahrain, and UAE

609. Gulf states seek warm peace with Israel

Author:: Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 09-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The diplomatic moves toward Israel taken by the UAE and Bahrain make it clear that Arab states can act in their own national interest when it comes to international politics, rather than abide by a stale lowest common denominator of “Arab consensus.”
Topic:: Security, Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Conflict, and Peace
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, Bahrain, Gulf Nations, and UAE

610. The China-Iran Agreement is not a Strategic Shift

Author:: Tuvia Gering and Yossi Mansharof
Publication Date:: 08-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The long-term agreement between the two countries has not been finalized, and its scope and security implications seem to be limited. It is unlikely to force Israel into a complete reconsideration of its economic ties to China.
Topic:: Security, Diplomacy, Bilateral Relations, Hegemony, and Economic Cooperation
Political Geography:: China, Iran, Israel, and Asia

611. Douglas MacGregor is a friend

Author:: Gershon Hacohen and Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 08-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Antisemitism accusations against Dr Douglas MacGregor are deeply upsetting.
Topic:: Governance, Leadership, Anti-Semitism, and Political Culture
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, North America, and United States of America

612. UAE treaty part of a much bigger game

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 08-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Israel is a key player in the crisis currently unfolding in the eastern Mediterranean basin, on the same side as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Greece.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Treaties and Agreements, Peace, and Regionalism
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, Gulf Nations, and UAE

613. Tempered Euphoria on the UAE-Israel Agreement

Author:: Joshua Krasna
Publication Date:: 08-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The deal is a clear win for Israel, the UAE and the US. Netanyahu gets a face-saving, significant reward for not doing something (annexation) he was not going to be able to do anyway in the current political/diplomatic context.
Topic:: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Treaties and Agreements, Leadership, and Alliance
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America, and UAE

614. Israel Needs to Strike Hezbollah to Ensure its Freedom of Action

Author:: Omer Dostri
Publication Date:: 08-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: A limited Israeli military operation in Lebanon would strengthen Israeli deterrence against Hezbollah. It also would deepen Iran’s sense of defeat and demonstrate Israel’s determination to check Iran’s malign activity.
Topic:: Security, Defense Policy, Military Strategy, Conflict, and Deterrence
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, and Israel

615. Israel, Greece, and the Turkish Challenge: Acute Testing Lies Ahead

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 08-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Israel is unable to get directly involved in eastern Mediterranean hostilities, should they erupt. But it can and should cooperate closely with Greece in intelligence matters and arms acquisition and coordinate political action with Greece in Washington. The US stance largely will determine the practical scope of Erdogan’s ambitions.
Topic:: Regional Cooperation, Military Strategy, Hegemony, and Conflict
Political Geography:: Europe, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, and Greece

616. The Tensions between Assad and Iran Present an Opportunity in Syria

Author:: Eran Lerman, Aiman Mansour, and Micky Aharonson
Publication Date:: 07-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Israel and the US may have an opportunity to incentivize Assad and Putin to cooperate in constraining Iran’s presence in Syria.
Topic:: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Conflict, and Rivalry
Political Geography:: Russia, Europe, Middle East, Israel, Syria, North America, and United States of America

617. The Future of India-Israel Arms Trade

Author:: Alvite Singh Ningthoujam
Publication Date:: 07-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Israel’s state-of-the-art weapon systems and technological expertise are a mainstay of India’s drive for a self-reliant defense industry.
Topic:: Security, Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Arms Trade, and Defense Industry
Political Geography:: Middle East, India, Israel, and Asia

618. Shortening mandatory service is a danger to Israel

Author:: Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 07-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Soldiers in uniform for less time means the army has less time to train them and can make use of their skills for a shorter period. In addition, there is no benefit in releasing potential young workers early at a time of rife unemployment.
Topic:: Security, Defense Policy, Military Strategy, Armed Forces, Israel Defense Forces (IDF), and Civil-Military Relations
Political Geography:: Middle East and Israel

619. Security Considerations and National Unity Require Jordan Valley Sovereignty

Author:: Eran Lerman and Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 07-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The American peace plan provides a historic opportunity to break the futile paradigm based on the 1967 lines and ensure Israeli national security for the long term. In terms of security – protecting Israel, stabilizing Jordan, and preventing a terrorist takeover of a future Palestinian entity – and given the supreme importance of national cohesion, it is imperative to focus on the Jordan Valley and the Jerusalem envelope.
Topic:: Security, Defense Policy, Diplomacy, Peace, and Strategic Stability
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, North America, and United States of America

620. Apply Sovereignty to the Jordan Valley, Now

Author:: Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 06-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The Valley is Israel’s only defensible eastern border and Israel’s sovereignty there is vital for the demilitarization of a future Palestinian state
Topic:: Defense Policy, Sovereignty, Military Strategy, Territorial Disputes, and Conflict
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

621. On Viruses and Missiles

Author:: Uzi Rubin
Publication Date:: 06-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The lesson learned from the current crisis is that restrictions imposed to protect the public are futile unless the public is convinced that it is at risk. To this end, government must communicate to the public with clear-cut data and logical arguments.
Topic:: Security, Missile Defense, Pandemic, and COVID-19
Political Geography:: Middle East and Israel

622. Qods Day Advances Iran’s Regional Aspirations

Author:: Yossi Mansharof
Publication Date:: 06-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: “Qods Day” reflects Tehran’s determination to annihilate Israel, a pillar of Iranian foreign policy. It also is an important part of “exporting” the Islamic Revolution.
Topic:: Defense Policy, Military Strategy, Conflict, and Ideology
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, and Israel

623. Lebanon’s Economic Collapse: Consequences for Israel

Author:: Aiman Mansour
Publication Date:: 06-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Israel should study the strategic consequences of the continuous economic deterioration in Lebanon, with an emphasis on the Shiite community’s situation. It might favor Hizballah.
Topic:: Economics, Military Strategy, Conflict, Hezbollah, and State Sponsored Terrorism
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Lebanon

624. Cyber-Warfare between Iran and Israel

Author:: Omer Dostri
Publication Date:: 06-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The recent reciprocal cyber-attacks attributed to Israel and Iran were meant to set red lines on the non-kinetic dimension of war.
Topic:: Military Strategy, Cybersecurity, Conflict, and Digitalization
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, and Israel

625. Phased Territorial Implementation of the Trump Peace Plan

Author:: Eran Lerman and Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 05-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The Trump Plan is the most realistic route for progress towards the goal of “two states for two peoples.” Therefore, the Israeli national unity government should embrace the Trump plan in its entirety, including negotiations towards establishment of a Palestinian state, and at the same time act (in the first stage) to apply Israeli law to the Jordan Valley and strategically significant areas in the Jerusalem envelope, such as Maaleh Adumim and Gush Etzion. An Israeli consensus exists regarding these areas.
Topic:: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Treaties and Agreements, Territorial Disputes, and Peace
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

626. The Struggle for the Mediterranean: The EMGF Stake in the Libyan Civil War

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 05-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Dramatic gains on the battlefield by the forces loyal to the Turkish-backed “Government of National Accord” in western Libya have given Erdogan a victory, which may endanger the future of the eastern Mediterranean. Italy, Greece, Cyprus, Egypt and Israel must coordinate their policies in response. A tripartite Greek-Cypriot-Israeli summit should be held urgently to annul the GNA-Libyan EEZ agreement, to present an alternative map of the Mediterranean, and to encourage a robust reaction of the EU. The US must be persuaded to pressure Turkey revoke the EEZ MoU (while still letting Erdogan take pride in saving the GNA from ruin).
Topic:: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Hegemony, and Conflict
Political Geography:: Africa, Europe, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Greece, Italy, Cyprus, and Mediterranean

627. Is Iran Gaining a Foothold in the West Bank?

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 05-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: A moribund terrorist group, the PFLP, is experiencing a revival and launching terror attacks, with help from Iran.
Topic:: Terrorism, Military Strategy, Territorial Disputes, and Conflict
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

628. Build Jerusalem

Author:: Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 05-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: US recognition of the eternal city as Israel’s capital and the Trump peace plan pave the way forward.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Territorial Disputes, Peace, and Statehood
Political Geography:: Middle East and Israel

629. Israel’s strategy in Syria is less coherent than it seems

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 05-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: There is a discrepancy between the stated goal – the expulsion of Iran from Syria – and the means being employed by Israel to achieve it.
Topic:: Military Strategy, Conflict, Strategic Stability, Strategic Interests, and Intervention
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, Israel, and Syria

630. Implementing Elements of the Trump Plan: An Opportunity to Give New Life to the Two-State Option

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 04-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Rejection of the Trump plan outright, denunciation of any steps towards its implementation, and adherence to the failed Oslo-era paradigm for peace – is certain to condemn all sides to continued conflict.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Treaties and Agreements, Territorial Disputes, Leadership, Conflict, and Peace
Political Geography:: Middle East, Palestine, and Israel

631. Netanyahu’s Annexation Plan Can’t Be Stopped

Author:: Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 04-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Annexation of the Jordan Valley is a long-standing Israeli objective, going back to Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin.
Topic:: Security, Territorial Disputes, Leadership, Settlements, and Annexation
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

632. Israeli Decision-Making During the COVID-19 Crisis

Author:: Yaakov Amidror
Publication Date:: 04-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: There are four factors to consider when weighing action against the coronavirus: public health, preservation of the economy, civil rights, and the international and regional context. National decision-making must take all four of these elements into account, with emphases shifting over the course of time as circumstances change.
Topic:: Security, Military Strategy, Conflict, Public Health, Pandemic, COVID-19, and Strategic Interests
Political Geography:: Middle East and Israel

633. Israel’s Response to Covid-19: Strengths, Weaknesses and Opportunities

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 04-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Overall, Israeli society has remained resilient in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic, and there are reasons to rate highly key aspects of the government’s response.
Topic:: Governance, Leadership, Public Health, Pandemic, and COVID-19
Political Geography:: Middle East and Israel

634. Lessons to be Learned: Israel’s Handling of the Coronavirus Crisis

Author:: Giora Eiland
Publication Date:: 04-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Even amidst the ongoing crisis, it is critical to adjust government decision-making structures and operational management procedures to “emergency” mode, in order to ensure optimal outcome.
Topic:: Governance, Leadership, Public Health, Pandemic, and COVID-19
Political Geography:: Middle East and Israel

635. Social and Economic Reslience in a Crisis Situation: Strategic Implications

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 03-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The resilence of Israeli society at a time of national emergency (the corona pandemic) has direct strategic and security implications. Despite the huge budgetary challenge, it is vital to maintain investment in advanced IDF military capabilities, because a nuclear confrontation with Iran is still possible.
Topic:: Security, Pandemic, Resilience, COVID-19, and Strategic Interests
Political Geography:: Middle East and Israel

636. What we know about Iran five years after Netanyahu’s speech to Congress

Author:: Yaakov Amidror
Publication Date:: 03-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: We have five years of experience to compare to the competing assessments of 2015. Now we know that Netanyahu’s gloomy forecast has proven to be the more prescient.
Topic:: Security, Military Strategy, Governance, Leadership, and Conflict
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, and Israel

637. Qatari Cash for Hamas Will Backfire on Israel

Author:: Udi Levi
Publication Date:: 03-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: What Happens When Hezbollah Seeks a Similar Arrangement of Quiet for Cash?
Topic:: Economics, Terrorism, Military Strategy, Hezbollah, and Hamas
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Qatar

638. Israel’s New Diplomatic Moment

Author:: Jonathan Spyer
Publication Date:: 03-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Trump’s peace plan calls attention to the fact that the Arab bloc that championed the Palestinian cause has collapsed.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Leadership, Conflict, and Peace
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

639. How Iran funds Palestinian Islamic Jihad

Author:: Yossi Mansharof
Publication Date:: 03-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: PIJ is an important part of the Iranian strategy for fighting Israel. The regime in Tehran makes use of charities and other civilian organizations, such as money changers, to transfer funds to its allies in Gaza.
Topic:: Terrorism, Military Strategy, Conflict, and State Sponsored Terrorism
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

640. The “Deal of the Century” and Israel’s European Challenge

Author:: Emmanuel Navon
Publication Date:: 02-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Europe ought to press the Palestinians to negotiate with Israel for a demilitarized state on a territory similar in size to the pre-1967 West Bank and Gaza Strip and whose economy will be rebuilt and boosted by a $50 billion investment.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Territorial Disputes, Conflict, Peace, and Strategic Interests
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

641. 15 reasons to embrace the Trump Plan

Author:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security
Publication Date:: 01-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Israel should act to implement the Trump Plan and reap its early rewards, because it transforms the Mideast peace paradigm. Most importantly, the plan reflects, and can serve as a platform for, Israeli consensus on the Palestinian issue.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Treaties and Agreements, Territorial Disputes, Leadership, and Peace
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

642. Breaking the ‘everybody knows paradigm’

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 01-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Even if the Palestinians reject Trump’s peace plan, it still serves their long-term interests. False, undeliverable expectations – based on the assumption that “everybody knows” what Israel will be forced to concede – eventually need to give way to a more realistic paradigm, which in turn may lead to a better life for both sides.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Treaties and Agreements, Territorial Disputes, Leadership, and Peace
Political Geography:: Middle East, Israel, and Palestine

643. The Struggle for the Eastern Mediterranean: Israel’s Role following the Berlin Summit on Libya

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 01-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Everything short of a military confrontation needs to be done, though, to deter Erdogan from establishing a barrier diagonally across the Mediterranean, barring Cyprus, Egypt and Israel from connecting their gas infrastructure to Greece and hence to Europe.
Topic:: Military Strategy, Natural Resources, Infrastructure, Gas, and Conflict
Political Geography:: Europe, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Greece, and Mediterranean

644. Israel-Greece-Cyprus take on Turkey in the Mediterranean

Author:: Joshua Krasna
Publication Date:: 01-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Trilateral cooperation among Israel, Greece and Cyprus to build a natural gas subsea pipeline is setting the stage for more tensions with Turkey in the Eastern Mediterranean.
Topic:: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Natural Resources, Gas, and Conflict
Political Geography:: Europe, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Greece, Cyprus, and Mediterranean

645. No to the planned Palestinian elections

Author:: Efraim Inbar
Publication Date:: 01-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Jerusalem is not the place to hold elections for a foreign entity.
Topic:: Territorial Disputes, Elections, Conflict, and Violence
Political Geography:: Israel, Palestine, and Jerusalem

646. The Reemergence of Gray-Zone Warfare in Modern Conflicts

Author:: Omer Dostri
Publication Date:: 01-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: Israel’s Struggle against Hamas’s Indirect Approach
Topic:: Terrorism, Military Strategy, Conflict, and Gray Zone
Political Geography:: Middle East and Israel

647. Israel Shouldn’t Draw Fixed Lines Between Itself and China

Author:: Eran Lerman
Publication Date:: 12-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
Abstract:: The Jewish state’s relationship with the U.S. is stronger for resting on an informal basis; replacing it with a formal alliance would do no good and only anger the world’s other major power.
Topic:: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Conflict, Peace, and Rivalry
Political Geography:: China, Middle East, Israel, Asia, North America, and United States of America

648. Syria in the US and Israeli debate on Iran

Author:: Shira Efron
Publication Date:: 11-2020
Content Type:: Working Paper
Institution:: The Geneva Centre for Security Policy
Abstract:: With presidential elections in the United States underway in November 2020[1], the only possible scenarios for Washington in the Middle East are either continuation and solidification, or a change in its Iran policy, each with different potential impacts on the geopolitical conflict between the United States, Israel, and allied Arab countries on one side and Iran and its regional Axis-of-Resistance on the other. Analysing current convergences and divergences between the United States and Israel on Syria and Iran is important to anticipate potential changes in both countries’ positions following the US election, as such changes may impact the effectiveness and even the prospect of the continuation of the United States’ so-called ‘Maximum Pressure’ campaign. The policies of the two countries on Syria and Iran became varyingly intertwined as Iran entrenched itself deeply in Syria. Nonetheless, it is important to note that Israel and the United States differ in their approaches to tackling Syria. This contribution attempts to assess the US campaign against Iran, the cost it is likely to have inflicted upon it in Syria, and the outlook of an agreement with Iran. Although we are considering US policy on Iran, the analysis here also includes the Israeli perspective. Private conversations with Israeli current and former officials have provided important insights into how Israeli officials see US policy in Syria and vis-à-vis Iran, and can add a unique contribution to the dialogue. In this analysis, we sought to address several issues. First, whether there are any incentives for Iran to concede to US demands or reach a meaningful bargain, and whether under a Biden or Trump administration a new Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) could be renegotiated to include Iranian expansion in the region. We also examined the form and incentives structure that could entice Iran to offer a constructive contribution to the stability of Syria and the region. In addition, we assessed to what extent the Maximum Pressure campaign affects Iran, and whether targeting Syria with sanctions would incentivise both the Syrian government and the Syrian locals (who are working with Iran as fighters) to break with Iran. Finally, assuming that Iran is in Syria to protect its own interests, we question whether more threats to Tehran would lead to reduced presence in Syria.
Topic:: Security, Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Governance, Elections, and Leadership
Political Geography:: Iran, Middle East, Israel, Syria, North America, and United States of America

649. Israel: Political and institutional effectiveness

Publication Date:: 07-2020
Content Type:: Country Data and Maps
Institution:: Economist Intelligence Unit
Abstract:: No abstract is available.
Topic:: Politics, Background, Forecast, and Political and institutional effectiveness
Political Geography:: Israel

650. Israel: Political forces at a glance

Publication Date:: 07-2020
Content Type:: Country Data and Maps
Institution:: Economist Intelligence Unit
Abstract:: No abstract is available.
Topic:: Politics, Summary, Background, and Political forces at a glance
Political Geography:: Israel

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