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  • Author: Joshua Krasna
  • Publication Date: 02-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Arab countries are re-normalizing their relations with the Assad regime, seeking to balance the strong Iranian and Turkish influences in Syria and to achieve some degree of influence in a new Syrian political-strategic structure. This further cements a Russian-oriented strategic architecture in the region. In the long term, this could lead to tensions between conservative Arab states and Israel, if Israel targets the Syrian military and government in the campaign against Iran, or if Israel continues to promote diplomatic recognition of its Golan annexation.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Governance, Normalization, Annexation
  • Political Geography: Europe, Iran, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Asia, Syria
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 03-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Any government elected in Israel will undoubtedly agree to discuss the plan with the Americans.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Treaties and Agreements, Territorial Disputes, Peace
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, North America, United States of America
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 03-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: It is inconceivable that the Trump plan will parrot the stale Clinton/Obama parameters of yesteryear or force any “peace paradigm” on Israel.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Treaties and Agreements, Territorial Disputes, Leadership, Peace
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, North America, United States of America
  • Publication Date: 03-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The EU’s insistence on preserving the nuclear agreement with Iran and its persistent efforts to establish a mechanism for evading American trade sanctions are encouraging Iran to escalate its subversion throughout Europe.
  • Topic: Security, Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, European Union, Appeasement
  • Political Geography: Europe, Iran, Middle East
  • Author: Emmanuel Navon
  • Publication Date: 03-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Israel should leverage its economic power and take advantage of the EU’s inner divisions, but it would not benefit from a divided Europe ruled by economic nationalists and anti-globalists aligned with Russia. To defend its national interests, Israel must develop ties with “rebellious” European governments, but only as a divide-and-rule tactic meant to break the Brussels consensus, not as a bond with forces that threaten to undermine free trade and the Atlantic alliance.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, European Union, Free Trade, Economic Cooperation
  • Political Geography: Russia, Europe, Middle East, Israel
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 04-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Trump’s landmark Golan decision asserts the law of diminishing returns: Arabs who refuse to make peace with Israel lose rights and assets as time goes forward. Mahmoud Abbas: Take notice.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Territorial Disputes, Conflict, Peace
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 04-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The guaranteed failure of the “deal of the century” is an opportunity for Israel to open the Americans’ eyes to the harsh and complicated reality in our region and lead them to support the strategy of managing the conflict and wait for better times.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Territorial Disputes, Leadership, Peace, Strategic Stability
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 04-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: As ugly as the 2019 campaign may have been, it is simply wrong to portray Israel as a deeply divided nation on these matters.
  • Topic: Security, Defense Policy, Diplomacy, Nationalism, Elections, Leadership, Political Parties
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 04-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: It is in Israel’s interest to solidify the Egyptian role in Gaza, in the context of “conflict management” as a governing policy concept. Egyptian participation in the efforts to stabilize the situation in Gaza serves as an important component in the vital Egypt-Israel relationship. It also helps erode Hamas’ pretensions of Jihad.
  • Topic: Conflict Resolution, Diplomacy, Terrorism, Territorial Disputes, Leadership, Peace, Hamas, Strategic Stability, Mediation
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, Gaza, Egypt
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 05-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: He has cornered himself into a situation where he has zero credibility and zero leverage on Israel, the US, the international community, and even the Sunni Arab world.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Palestinian Authority, Regional Power
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 05-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The new JISS national security plan says avoid risky diplomatic escapades and prepare for war.
  • Topic: Security, Diplomacy, National Security, Military Strategy, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 06-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The emerging informal alliance in the eastern Mediterranean is becoming increasingly significant. Egypt’s role, Erdogan’s ambitions, energy resources, joint military exercises and coordinated emergency responses contribute to the alliance.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Energy Policy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Alliance, Palestinian Authority
  • Political Geography: Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Palestine, Egypt, Mediterranean
  • Author: Joshua Krasna
  • Publication Date: 07-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: It is a crucial accord, but needs attention and maintenance.
  • Topic: Conflict Resolution, Diplomacy, Treaties and Agreements, Alliance
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Jordan
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 08-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign must not be curtailed before Iran’s leaders truly have no choice but to capitulate to Western demands.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Treaties and Agreements, Military Strategy, Hegemony, Conflict, Regional Power
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Joshua Krasna
  • Publication Date: 08-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Jordan and other conservative Arab states are struggling with a difficult superpower ally and facing threats of regional escalation.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Alliance, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, Jordan
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 08-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Israel, Egypt, Greece and Cyprus must encourage the US to assert a higher military and diplomatic profile as a counterweight to Turkish pressures, Russian and Iranian ambitions, and Chinese inroads.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Energy Policy, Military Strategy, Foreign Interference
  • Political Geography: Russia, China, Europe, Iran, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Greece, Asia, North America, Egypt, Cyprus, United States of America
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 09-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The recurrent debate about Israel in Pakistan reflects the former’s improved international standing. The Muslim giant could become the next success in Israel’s growing acceptance around the world
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Conflict, Rivalry
  • Political Geography: Pakistan, Middle East, India, Israel, Asia
  • Author: Yossi Mansharof
  • Publication Date: 09-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Deadlock between Washington and Tehran won’t easily turn into détente even if Trump and Rohani do find a way to meet in New York. However, even a tentative rapprochement between the US and Iran would severely strain Israel’s close ties with the White House.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Rivalry, Appeasement
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Jonathan Spyer
  • Publication Date: 09-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The Turkey-Qatar-Muslim Brotherhood alliance first came to prominence in the early, optimistic months of the “Arab Spring.”
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Arab Spring, Alliance, Muslim Brotherhood
  • Political Geography: Europe, Turkey, Middle East, Qatar, Persian Gulf
  • Author: Jonathan Spyer
  • Publication Date: 10-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Both Pakistani and Israeli concerns currently militate against any imminent warming of ties.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Pakistan, Middle East, Israel, Asia
  • Author: Jonathan Spyer
  • Publication Date: 10-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The move confirms that the current US administration is not interested in heading an alliance of regional forces against Iranian expansionism or Sunni political Islam, but is, like its predecessor, managing imperial decline.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Regional Cooperation, Alliance
  • Political Geography: United States, Iran, Middle East, Israel, North America
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 10-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Trump’s Syria decision accords with previous presidential decisions and is not necessarily a disaster for Israel.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Leadership, Conflict, Foreign Interference
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Syria, North America, United States of America
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 11-2019
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: By changing the discourse about settlements, the Trump administration is laying the groundwork for realistic negotiation. Even if you think that Israeli settlement should be rolled-back in the context of a sensible peace arrangement, applying the demonizing epithet “illegal” makes for a destructive narrative that distances, not advances, peace.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Territorial Disputes, Discrimination, Negotiation, Settlements
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 01-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits India just half a year after the first historic trip of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Israel (July 2017). These visits reflect the significant expansion in relations between the two countries that has taken place since the establishment of full diplomatic relations in 1992.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Leadership
  • Political Geography: Middle East, India, Israel, Asia
  • Publication Date: 01-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Harper and Pence have offered moral and spiritual leadership for the world. Their momentous Knesset speeches were epoch-making events.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Leadership
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Canada, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 02-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: What needs “nixing” is not the JCPOA – a piece of paper – but the Iranian nuclear infrastructure.
  • Topic: Arms Control and Proliferation, Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Nuclear Weapons, Infrastructure, Nuclear Power, Denuclearization, JCPOA
  • Political Geography: Europe, Iran, Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 02-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: By leveraging its remarkable achievements in the fields most relevant to future conflicts, Israel can transition from dependence on the U.S. to partnership.
  • Topic: Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 03-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Might more be done to advance an Iranian counter-revolution? Uri Lubrani certainly thought so, and he was not naive.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regime Change, Governance
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East
  • Author: Jonathan Spyer
  • Publication Date: 03-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Funds and favor for Saudi Arabia 2.0, and also to smash Iran.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Economic Cooperation
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Saudi Arabia
  • Author: Yaakov Amidror
  • Publication Date: 03-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Given the bad nuclear deal signed with Iran, Israel must be diligent about risk management; no matter how relentless intelligence gathering efforts are, not all threats can be countered. Israel will not allow enemy states to go nuclear.
  • Topic: Arms Control and Proliferation, Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Nuclear Weapons, Military Strategy
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, Israel
  • Author: Micky Aharonson
  • Publication Date: 04-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: In spite of the impressive international front against Russia following the former spy’s poisoning in Britain, its activity seems to be limited mainly to rhetoric and diplomatic gestures, which will not achieve Russia’s isolation
  • Topic: Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, Intelligence, Assassination
  • Political Geography: Britain, Russia, Europe
  • Author: Yaakov Amidror
  • Publication Date: 04-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Russia may demand due consideration, but Israel has proved time and again that it will not allow Iran to tighten its grip on Syria, even if doing so stokes regional tensions.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Military Strategy, Military Affairs
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, Israel, Syria
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 05-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The French president’s visit to served to demonstrate Macron’s importance as a dynamic and proactive European player, and as a partner in the effort to curb Iran’s strategic ambitions.
  • Topic: Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy
  • Political Geography: Europe, Iran, Middle East, Israel, France
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 05-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Israel’s revelation of Iran’s nuclear deception aims to show the world that the 2015 deal with Iran must indeed be renegotiated in the interests of global peace.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, European Union, Peace, Economic Cooperation
  • Political Geography: Europe, Iran, Middle East, Israel
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 05-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The broader context to US President Trump’s recent decisions to nix the nuclear deal with Iran and to move the US embassy to Jerusalem is restoration of America’s credibility as a world power after eight years of diffident presidential leadership.
  • Topic: Arms Control and Proliferation, Diplomacy, Nuclear Weapons, Leadership
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 05-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Amidst the tensions and transformations even of these dramatic days – the American withdrawal from the Iran deal, the violent confrontation in Syria, the ongoing Hamas provocations on the Gaza border, and the opening of the US embassy in Jerusalem – it was easy to lose sight of another landmark event. It is remarkable that by now a tripartite summit of Prime Minister Netanyahu and his fellow eastern Mediterranean leaders – President Anastasiades of Cyprus and Prime Minister Tsipras of Greece – is no longer remarked upon. Their meeting was the fourth of its kind. It has now become part of a broader pattern of consolidated cooperation between the three countries. Still, the (exceedingly long) joint statement issued in Nicosia on May 8 is a striking document. Like its predecessors (January 28, 2016 in Nicosia, December 8, 2016 in Jerusalem, and June 15, 2017 in Thessaloniki), the statement asserts that this is not an exclusive club. “Like minded” nations are urged to join the efforts to make the eastern Mediterranean safer, more stable and more prosperous.
  • Topic: Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Peace
  • Political Geography: Europe, Middle East, Israel, Greece, Cyprus, Mediterranean
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 05-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Israel should be preparing for a paradigm change with regard to administration of the territories; a move beyond rotten reliance on Fatah leadership and the creaky two-state construct.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Territorial Disputes, Peace, Anti-Semitism, Palestinian Authority
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine
  • Author: Jonathan Spyer
  • Publication Date: 06-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Bad management, corruption and a failure of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action to generate expected levels of foreign investment compound the problem.
  • Topic: Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Nuclear Weapons
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Jonathan Spyer
  • Publication Date: 06-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Iran enjoyed and benefited from the moment when the Arab world was at its most fragmented, and the West at its most rudderless.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Hegemony
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East
  • Author: Eran Lerman, Nir Boms
  • Publication Date: 06-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Israel may soon face a dilemma. The “arrangement” with Russia as to the future of Syria may stave-off an Iranian presence but will pose an existential danger to the groups of rebels near the border – groups which have worked closely with the IDF to prevent direct friction with hostile elements on the line of contact. It is vital that the solutions to this challenge demonstrate to future partners that Israel does not turn its back on those who have assisted it facing a common threat.
  • Topic: Defense Policy, Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Hegemony, Israel Defense Forces (IDF)
  • Political Geography: Russia, Europe, Middle East, Israel, Syria
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 06-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Israel’s national interest, and the broader patterns of cooperation among key regional partners in the “camp of stability,” require close attention to the needs of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan. For decades, it has been, and remains, part of Israel’s strategic depth.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Military Strategy, Leadership
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Jordan
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 07-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The Clinton-Obama parameters haven’t worked – not for 25 years of peacemaking efforts since Oslo. They have lead to deadlock and much suffering. Let’s give the Trump team credit for taking a fresh look at what is safe, wise, fair and realistic in today’s Israeli-Palestinian reality.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Territorial Disputes, Leadership, Borders, Peace
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Emmanuel Navon
  • Publication Date: 07-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: hose who called for the cancellation of Orbán’s visit did not boycott Putin’s visit to Israel in 2012, nor did they condemn Israel’s apology to Erdoğan in 2013. Realpolitik must be consistent, and self-righteousness cannot be selective.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Authoritarianism, Leadership
  • Political Geography: Europe, Middle East, Israel, Hungary
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 07-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: How the wise use of force facilitates diplomatic processes in the Israel-Egypt-Hamas and Israel-Russia-Syria triangles
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Conflict, Hamas
  • Political Geography: Africa, Russia, Europe, Middle East, Israel, Syria, Egypt
  • Author: Omer Dostri
  • Publication Date: 08-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The recent agreement between the US and Saudi Arabia to increase oil production is a significant blow to Iran. America seeks either regime change or a new nuclear deal on better terms.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Energy Policy, Nuclear Weapons, Oil
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, Saudi Arabia, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Yaakov Amidror
  • Publication Date: 08-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Israel would prefer not to go to war with Hamas over kite terrorism but Gaza’s rulers should not confuse that with apprehension. The simple fact is that clear priorities must be set and Israel must decide which of the threats it faces is truly urgent.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Territorial Disputes, Conflict, Peace
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, Gaza
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 08-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: In pursuit of peace, it’s high-time that the PLO be showered with the “tough love” once reserved uniquely for Israel. And Israel’s defense establishment should get behind the ditch UNRWA discourse.
  • Topic: Defense Policy, Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Peace, Palestinian Authority
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 09-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The abject failure of the Oslo Accords has had a salutary effect on Israeli society. Israelis are today quite resilient, ready to endure – if necessary – protracted conflict.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Peace, Oslo Accords
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine
  • Author: Omer Dostri
  • Publication Date: 09-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Iran’s goal in its activity in the Western Sahara is to subvert Morocco, a moderate Sunni state, as part of the Iranian regime’s policy of spreading the Shi’ite revolution.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, United Nations, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Africa, Iran, Middle East, Israel, Morocco, Western Sahara
  • Author: Yossi Mansharof
  • Publication Date: 09-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: On restoring relations between Tehran and Washington. If the protests in Iran expand, Trump will be able to exert greater pressure on Tehran.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Military Strategy, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Yaakov Amidror
  • Publication Date: 10-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The downing of a Russian plane by Syrian artillery after an Israeli strike proves how vital it is to maintain open lines of communications between Israel and Russia. The IDF may have to exercise more restraint, but it will still do what it must.
  • Topic: Defense Policy, Diplomacy, Communications, Military Strategy, Missile Defense, Israel Defense Forces (IDF)
  • Political Geography: Russia, Europe, Middle East, Israel, Syria
  • Author: Emmanuel Navon
  • Publication Date: 10-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Germany is being inconsistent and duplicitous and the time has come to say it loud and clear.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Territorial Disputes
  • Political Geography: Europe, Middle East, Israel, Germany
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 10-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The INSS unilateral disengagement plan is neither new nor logical.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Territorial Disputes, Peace
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine
  • Author: Omer Dostri
  • Publication Date: 10-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: In the past decade, relations between Israel and China have become closer, following a decision in Jerusalem to diversify and expand Israel’s ties with emerging powers and countries that do not belong to the European Union and are less identified with the American coalition. The visit to Israel by China’s vice president is evidence of the warming of relations between the two countries.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Hegemony, Emerging Powers
  • Political Geography: China, Europe, Middle East, Israel, Asia, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 11-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The Greek-Cypriot-Egyptian summit held last month in Crete focused on energy connectivity and Turkish threats, but it also paid lip service to Egyptian pro-Palestinian messages, which is problematic.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Military Strategy, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Europe, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Greece, Palestine, Egypt, Cyprus, Mediterranean
  • Author: Emmanuel Navon
  • Publication Date: 12-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Natural gas has turned Greece from a rival to an ally just as relations between Israel and Turkey started deteriorating.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Energy Policy, International Cooperation, Regional Cooperation
  • Political Geography: Europe, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Greece, Mediterranean
  • Author: Jonathan Spyer
  • Publication Date: 12-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Syrian regime closes accounts with West and Israel-linked rebels, as Iran builds and expands its presence in the area.
  • Topic: Security, Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Syria
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 12-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Iran, Turkey, Russia and other bad actors threaten Western and Israeli security in this strategic zone.
  • Topic: Security, Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Regional Cooperation, Military Strategy
  • Political Geography: Russia, Europe, Iran, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Mediterranean
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 12-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Military, diplomatic and economic pressures can be brought to bear to preserve SDF and Kurdish autonomy in northeastern Syria, and to deter Turkey and Iran from conquering these areas.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Military Strategy, Economic Cooperation
  • Political Geography: Iran, Turkey, Middle East, Syria, Kurdistan
  • Author: Joshua Krasna
  • Publication Date: 12-2018
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The possibility that Iran and Turkey will be emboldened by the American decision, is worrisome. The main counter to that will be robust deterrence from Israel, whose maintenance may increase the likeliness of escalation in Syria and Lebanon, and even more resort to the restraining hand of Russia.
  • Topic: Defense Policy, Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Nuclear Weapons, Military Strategy, Hegemony, JCPOA
  • Political Geography: Afghanistan, Russia, Europe, Iran, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Syria, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 05-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Western hopes that Iran will moderate and “engage” with the international community following the faulty 2015 nuclear agreement (JCPOA) have been gradually replaced with apprehension. More voices in the international community are joining Israel in expressing growing concern about Iran’s policies. While Iran seems to be abide by the JCPOA, it resists expanding the scope of inspections, continues its nuclear research and development (for example upgrading centrifuges) and continues to make progress on its long-range missile program. Recently it conducted a test of a missile designed to carry nuclear warheads. Moreover, Iran’s involvement in the region attests to its hegemonic plans, defying the notion, propagated by its propagandists, that it is a status quo power acting defensively. Rather, Iran is following its Persian imperial instincts that are reinforced by Muslim jihadist impulses. It already controls four Arab capitals: Baghdad, Beirut, Damascus and Sanaa; its Shi’ite militias and proxies are fighting in Iraq, Syria and Yemen and engaging in ethnic cleansing; and it is on the verge of solidifying the Shi’ite corridor from the Persian Gulf to the Mediterranean. Israel tries to capitalize on the new widespread global apprehension about Iran and a new American president who is not committed to the JCPOA to bring about the cancellation of the 2015 nuclear accord or its renegotiation, and the reinstating of the sanctions regime. Yet, these goals are difficult to attain and not useful in preventing a nuclear Iran.
  • Topic: Arms Control and Proliferation, Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Denuclearization, JCPOA
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Eran Lerman
  • Publication Date: 10-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The Iranian situation is both more urgent and more malleable than the almost hopeless situation with North Korea.
  • Topic: Arms Control and Proliferation, Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Conflict
  • Political Geography: China, Iran, Middle East, Israel, Asia, North Korea, North America, United States of America
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 10-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: By tabling creative coexistence proposals, pushing core issues to the top of the agenda, suggesting innovative alternatives to the problematic two-state paradigm, and articulating red lines that are clear and broad.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Territorial Disputes, Conflict, Peace
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 11-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: No duplicitous decrees by supreme or smiling ayatollahs should deflect our attention from Tehran’s dangerous moves.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Military Strategy, Hegemony, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 01-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Everything must be done by Jerusalem to preserve the peace treaty with Egypt, but Israel should still prepare itself for worst-case scenarios.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Conflict, Peace
  • Political Geography: Africa, Middle East, Israel, Egypt
  • Author: Emmanuel Navon
  • Publication Date: 12-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: The Arab League’s Chairman, Ahmed Abul Gheit, has warned President Trump that recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital would do a disservice to the Israeli-Palestinian peace process as well as ignite violence in the Middle-East. Given the absence of a peace process and given the abundance of violence in the Middle-East, Mr. Aboul-Gheit’s warning does not even pass the laughing test. Far from inflaming the region, recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital would actually send a sobering message to the Arab world: that the time of historical denial is over, and that Israel is being retributed for being the only country in the region that protects the holy sites of all faiths.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, International Cooperation, Religion, Territorial Disputes, Peace
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, Jerusalem
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 12-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: Israel should not bear-hug the problematic Saudis, nor fall prey to over-enthusiastic fantasies. Don’t assume that MBS is the answer to Israel’s prayers in facing-down Iran. Don’t expect overt Saudi peace overtures to Israel, and beware inevitable demands for down-payments to the Palestinians as the up-front price for lukewarm Saudi openness to Israel.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Arab Spring, Peace
  • Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Palestine, Saudi Arabia
  • Author: David M. Weinberg
  • Publication Date: 12-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: After recognizing Jerusalem, America’s next move should be banishing the EU from regional diplomacy.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Territorial Disputes, European Union, Leadership
  • Political Geography: Europe, Middle East, Israel, Palestine, Jerusalem, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 12-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: If the United States wants to disengage from the Middle East it should do so with a bang. The address for such a forceful demonstration is clear: the Iranian nuclear program.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Nuclear Weapons, Nuclear Power, Leadership, Conflict
  • Political Geography: Iran, Middle East, Israel, North America, United States of America
  • Author: Efraim Inbar
  • Publication Date: 12-2017
  • Content Type: Working Paper
  • Institution: Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS)
  • Abstract: While Israel cannot let Turkish President Erdogan’s attacks slide, its response must differentiate between Turkish society and its popular but problematic leader.
  • Topic: Diplomacy, Regional Cooperation, Authoritarianism, Leadership
  • Political Geography: Europe, Turkey, Middle East, Israel, Asia