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2. Assad’s Fall Is an Opportunity for a U.S. Win Over China
- Author:
- Grant Rumley
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
- Abstract:
- Beijing consistently supported the regime’s brutal repressive measures, so cozying up to the rebel-led transition government may be more difficult than it expects. In the months since the Israel-Hamas war began in October 2023, China has seized on the conflict to criticize not only Israel but by extension the U.S. and its position in the region. For years, Chinese diplomats had been careful to toe a centrist line in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, calibrating their language to avoid offending either side too greatly. Yet as the conflict has dragged on the past year, and as the region’s criticisms of the U.S. have risen, Beijing sensed an opportunity to diminish the U.S. standing while boosting its own. Chinese officials have regularly omitted mention of Hamas’s atrocities while blasting Israel and the U.S. for its support. Now, however, the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria has presented the U.S. with a similar opportunity...
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, Strategic Competition, Bashar al-Assad, 2023 Gaza War, and Transitional Government
- Political Geography:
- China, Middle East, Syria, and United States of America
3. In Syria, America Should Be Ruthlessly Focused on the Islamic State
- Author:
- Joseph Votel and Elizabeth Dent
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
- Abstract:
- With the U.S. military presence on a potentially short timetable, officials should prioritize policies that ensure the continued security of Islamic State detention facilities, such as brokering local ceasefire agreements and alleviating Turkish concerns. Five years ago, we warned that a snap decision to depart Syria would be a devastating setback and damage American credibility. A few weeks later, amongst a U.S. withdrawal and subsequent Turkish invasion into areas held by the Syrian Democratic Forces, we argued the United States would need to maintain the ability to fight remnants of the Islamic State and ensure the fighters in detention remain there. Washington ceded much of its negotiating power in the country to Moscow and Ankara, only to reverse course a few months later and keep a small allotment of troops in northeast Syria to prevent a power vacuum and a run on Syrian oil and gas infrastructure. Today, the United States and its Kurdish-led partners face a nearly identical set of challenges, but in a massively changed balance of power in Syria. And despite political nominees’ reassurances that the United States is unlikely to abandon its partners there, Trump himself has been more ambivalent...
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, Islamic State, and Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF)
- Political Geography:
- Turkey, Middle East, Syria, and United States of America
4. PMF Non-Deployment to Save Assad: Sudani’s View Contradicted by Iran
- Author:
- Hamdi Malik
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
- Abstract:
- The Iraqi prime minister portrayed Baghdad's non-intervention in Syria as a sovereign decision, but Iranian leaders gave a different explanation. Iranian and Iraqi narratives surrounding recent events in Syria reveal clear contradictions, particularly regarding the role of Iraqi muqawama (resistance) militias in efforts to preserve Bashar al-Assad’s regime. High-ranking Iranian officials offered accounts that challenged Iraqi prime minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani’s portrayal of events, asserting that external threats rather than Sudani’s leadership ultimately limited the extent of Iraq’s involvement.
- Topic:
- Non State Actors, Syrian War, Bashar al-Assad, and Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF)
- Political Geography:
- Iraq, Middle East, and Syria
5. Gaza Ceasefire: Implications for Israel, Hamas, and U.S. Policy
- Author:
- Dennis Ross, Matthew Levitt, and Neomi Neumann
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
- Abstract:
- Former Israeli and U.S. officials discuss the deal’s timing, provisions, and near-term prospects, outlining the Trump administration’s practical options for advancing peace in Gaza and beyond.
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, Ceasefire, Armed Conflict, and 2023 Gaza War
- Political Geography:
- Middle East, Israel, Palestine, Gaza, and United States of America
6. The US TikTok Ban, the RedNote Moment and China
- Author:
- Aurelio Insisa
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- On 23 April 2024, the US Senate passed a bill forcing the Chinese company ByteDance to choose between divesting from its prized social platform TikTok, one of the dominant apps among Americans aged 18-29,[1] or accepting its ban on US soil. Following ByteDance’s refusal to divest, the US Supreme Court upheld the ban on 17 January 2025. The ban on TikTok rested on national security grounds. TikTok is technically a limited liability corporation registered in Delaware and with headquarters in Singapore and Los Angeles. Yet, its parent company ByteDance, while incorporated in the Cayman Islands, is based in Beijing and subject to a domestic legal framework legally requiring it to “provide assistance” to the Chinese government, including, crucially, giving up the data of TikTok users.[2] Further highlighting the limited autonomy of the company vis-à-vis Chinese authorities, “cells” of the Chinese Communist Party have been embedded within the structures of the company since 2017.[3] In short, ByteDance cannot guarantee that the personal data of its users could be kept at arm’s length from Beijing. While the Senate’s bill enjoyed bipartisan support, then President-elect Donald J. Trump publicly stated that he would not enforce the ban. Throughout the 2024 electoral campaign, Trump had announced – in contrast with most of the Republican Party members of Congress – his opposition to the bill, acknowledging how the platform had been a relevant tool for re-election.[4] On 19 January, Trump announced that he would consider imposing a 90-day delay of the ban and search for a joint-venture between ByteDance and a US company.[5] Two days later, he suggested the possibility that either Elon Musk (CEO of Tesla, owner of X, and Administrator of the Department of Government Efficiency in the new administration), or Larry Ellison (chairman of Oracle) would buy the social media platform.[6]
- Topic:
- Social Media, Digital Policy, and TikTok
- Political Geography:
- China, Asia, North America, and United States of America
7. Trump First, America Second
- Author:
- Riccardo Alcaro
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- In his inaugural address to a nation half-enthusiastic and half-stunned still by the most extraordinary political comeback in US history, Donald Trump portrayed himself as the saviour of the nation, chosen by God Himself to finally turn America First from slogan to reality and truly ‘make America great again’.[1] The mixture of politics, ideology and megalomaniac eschatology is especially interesting because Trump has tied the fate of the nation to his personal fortunes like no other president before him. As he puts it, the realisation of America First is inextricably linked to his personal power.
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, Ideology, Far Right, Donald Trump, and Nativism
- Political Geography:
- North America and United States of America
8. A Tough Opponent for Trump: Inflation
- Author:
- Matteo Bursi
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- According to several pre-election polls, the economy was perceived by many US voters as the key topic in deciding whether to vote Democratic or Republican in the 2024 presidential elections.[1] During Joe Biden’s administration, the US GDP grew steadily and unemployment reached very low levels. Nevertheless, for the first time since 2004, the Democratic Party lost the presidency, the popular vote, the House of Representatives and the Senate. This seemingly paradoxical situation, according to some commentators, finds an explanation in the issue of inflation.[2] From this perspective, a significant number of Americans reportedly voted for Donald Trump due to the sharp price increases experienced during the past four years, blaming the outgoing Democratic administration for failing to sufficiently protect the purchasing power of US citizens and businesses. During and after the election campaign, the tycoon has claimed that he can curb inflation, emphasising his plan to intensify the exploitation of domestic energy resources. This proposal – covered by one of the many executive orders signed by Trump upon taking office – could help contain price increases but is unlikely to be a definitive solution. Likewise, its effectiveness could be largely offset by inflationary pressures arising from other policies that the Republican politician has promised to implement.
- Topic:
- Domestic Politics, Economic Policy, Inflation, and Donald Trump
- Political Geography:
- North America and United States of America
9. The New Syria and the Regional Balance of Power
- Author:
- Amjed Rasheed
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- The sudden fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime on 8 December 2024 and the subsequent rise of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), now leading the Syrian interim government in the country, have dramatically shaped the regional balance of power. Remarkably, the HTS-led interim government has been making some serious attempts to consolidate its control, and boost legitimacy, but also rebuild Syria after 14 years of civil war and a half-a-century of Assad dynasty rule. In its pursuit to achieve these ends, the interim government has launched diplomatic efforts toward regional and international powerhouses. Everybody, including Russia, is currently welcome to visit Damascus. Yet there is also failure so far to open up the transition to others, which could generate grievances and lead to disruptive regional interference. While the success of such a policy remains to be gauged, the HTS approach to accommodate regional contradiction is worth explaining.
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, Syrian War, Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), and Regional Politics
- Political Geography:
- Russia, Turkey, Middle East, Syria, and Gulf Nations
10. The Mattei Plan One Year On
- Author:
- Filippo Simonelli
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- On 28-29 January 2024, the Italian Senate hosted the Italy-Africa Summit, bringing together 21 heads of state and government from African countries, along with other representatives of African, European and global organisations. The African representatives were gathered by the announcement that Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni would publicly present the Mattei Plan, a project with which the Italian government wants to redesign relations with the continent based on “equal-to-equal” collaboration. A year later, it is possible to take a first stock of announcements, projects and weaknesses that have emerged so far.
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, Development, Public-Private Partnership, Collaboration, and Mattei Plan
- Political Geography:
- Africa, Italy, and North America
11. The European Screening Mechanism and Its Implications for Chinese FDI
- Author:
- Emanuele Ballestracci
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- The European Commission has recently proposed a revision of the EU foreign direct investment (FDI) screening mechanism, originally established in 2020. The aim is to further strengthen the EU’s economic security within the framework of its “de-risking” policy, which aims to manage risks coming from the economic and technological engagement with China.[1] The new proposal aims to address major shortcomings in the current screening mechanism, expanding its scope to greenfield investments and European outward FDI. However, this could conflict with the EU’s goal of encouraging Chinese greenfield investment and joint ventures, particularly in the electric vehicle (EV) sector.
- Topic:
- Science and Technology, Foreign Direct Investment, European Union, and Economic Security
- Political Geography:
- China, Europe, and Asia
12. Trump’s Call with Putin Raises Great Concerns, Few Hopes
- Author:
- Riccardo Alcaro
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- US President Donald Trump’s phone call with Russia’s leader Vladimir Putin, especially when read in combination with Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth’s re-definition of US Europe policy, casts a long shadow. There are good reasons to be more concerned than hopeful about the peace deal that seems to be taking shape in the minds of the US Administration. At the same time, there are elements suggesting a less pessimistic assessment of the looming negotiations. Trump’s call with Putin has made a big splash but has not yet pierced Ukraine’s armour.
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, European Union, Donald Trump, and Vladimir Putin
- Political Geography:
- Russia, Europe, Ukraine, North America, and United States of America
13. Another Transatlanticism Is Possible: Europe’s Moment in Latin America amid Trump’s Return
- Author:
- Raffaele Piras
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- Donald Trump’s return to the White House has reignited his hallmark “America First” agenda, with significant consequences for Latin America. During his inaugural address, Trump emphasised the need to regain US control of the Panama Canal, framing it as a cornerstone of national security amidst heightened competition with China.[1] This rhetoric marks the continuation of a policy approach that relies on coercion and transactional diplomacy to achieve US objectives. While Trump’s focus on Latin America will undoubtedly reshape the region’s geopolitical dynamics, it also presents a strategic opportunity for the European Union to strengthen its role as a stabilising force and reliable partner.
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, Politics, European Union, Institutions, and Transatlantic Relations
- Political Geography:
- Europe, Latin America, North America, and United States of America
14. A Three-year War and Four Lessons for Europe
- Author:
- Alessandro Marrone
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- The tragic third anniversary of the Russian invasion of Ukraine that began on 24 February 2022 witnesses the start of diplomatic talks between Russia and the United States on the possible end of the conflict. Three years of large-scale, high-intensity war of attrition in Europe, with over a million dead or injured soldiers, offers at least four politico-military lessons for European countries, the EU and NATO. Lessons to bear in mind through this negotiation for the future not only of Ukraine but of the security of the whole continent.
- Topic:
- Defense Policy, NATO, Transatlantic Relations, and Russia-Ukraine War
- Political Geography:
- Europe and Ukraine
15. Giorgia Meloni’s Italy between Trump and Europe: Fateful Choices Ahead
- Author:
- Maria Luisa Fantappiè, Leo Goretti, and Filippo Simonelli
- Publication Date:
- 03-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- The priority should be “preventing divisions within the West and the transatlantic alliance”, while “rooting for” this or that side would not be helpful: it is thus that Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni commented on the spat in the Oval Office between President Volodymyr Zelensky and Donald Trump,[1] and by extension, between Washington and Europe. In the aftermath of the clash, while most European leaders openly supported Zelensky, Meloni’s reticence was notable. The choice was tough. Siding with Zelensky would jeopardise Meloni’s aspiration to become the go-to EU leader for Washington. And yet, siding with Trump would lay bare a lack of commitment to Europe and especially the defence of Ukraine, for which Meloni had previously shown constant support. At the ensuing London Summit on Ukraine, Meloni couldn’t hide her discomfort.[2] The resolve of European leaders – spearheaded by the French president Emmanuel Macron and the UK’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer – in advocating for a strategic Europe seemed to shelve Meloni’s carefully crafted plan to leverage her bilateral ties with the Trump administration to bolster her role in Europe – even at the cost of fragmenting its unity. Meanwhile, at home, her junior coalition partner Matteo Salvini openly sided with Trump, in an attempt to present himself as an alternative to Meloni and to win consensus among that sizable chunk of the Italian public opinion who wants to see an end to the war in Ukraine.
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, Transatlantic Relations, Donald Trump, Russia-Ukraine War, and Giorgia Meloni
- Political Geography:
- Europe, Italy, and United States of America
16. Trump’s Exit from the Paris Agreement: An Opportunity for the EU to Back South Africa’s Climate Leadership
- Author:
- Bongiwe Ngcobo-Mphahlele and Darlington Tshuma
- Publication Date:
- 03-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- In his address to the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos in January 2025,[1] South Africa’s President Cyril Ramaphosa – who currently chairs the G20, the first African leader to do so – outlined a bold and assertive agenda centred on global cooperation, inclusive growth and sustainable development. His address included a renewed call for transparency in the allocation of climate resources and the reform of the global financial architecture that has long been criticised as too rigid to support long-term sustainable development in the Global South.[2]
- Topic:
- Foreign Policy, Climate Change, Economics, and Sustainable Development
- Political Geography:
- Europe, South Africa, North America, and United States of America
17. Can France Provide European Allies with Nuclear Deterrence?
- Author:
- Roberto Zadra
- Publication Date:
- 03-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- In his speech to fellow citizens on 5 March, French President Emmanuel Macron announced the opening of a “strategic debate on the protection of our allies on the European continent by our (nuclear) deterrent”.[1] It is not the first time: already in the 1990s then-president François Mitterrand alluded to a vocation européenne of French nuclear deterrence.[2] Macron himself proposed, already in February 2020, the opening of a dialogue on the matter.[3] The initiative was not very successful at the time, essentially because European allies considered the security guarantees provided by the United States to Europe through NATO sufficient, together with the repeated reassurances of NATO communiqués that the British and French nuclear forces “have a deterrent role of their own and contribute significantly to the overall security of the Alliance”.[4] This time, however, the reactions by many European allied countries to the French initiative will probably be different. For a simple reason: excluding the deployment of its own forces to Ukraine in the event of a ceasefire and denying security guarantees to Kyiv, the Trump administration fuels the fears of European allies that Washington’s commitment to collective defence is less solid than in the past. Indeed, the Ukraine crisis has shown the limitations of the traditional NATO distinction between Article 5 and non-Article 5 – that is, between those who are members of NATO and therefore protected by collective defence, and those who are not because collective defence is not valid for NATO partners – as it has laid bare how crisis management and cooperative security are having a direct impact on (the perceived lack of US commitment to) collective defence in Europe.
- Topic:
- Defense Policy, NATO, Nuclear Weapons, Deterrence, and Transatlantic Relations
- Political Geography:
- Europe and France
18. NATO-Europe-US Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific: Challenging Times Ahead
- Author:
- Gabriele Abbondanza
- Publication Date:
- 03-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Istituto Affari Internazionali
- Abstract:
- As the Indo-Pacific gradually becomes the world’s geopolitical and geoeconomic epicentre, states and regional organisations are progressively pivoting to it. Due to a combination of drivers – chiefly US pressure, economic opportunities, strategic interests and politico-normative priorities – European and Indo-Pacific actors have increased cooperation with Washington and NATO in the region. However, the second Trump administration looks considerably less aligned with the conventional pillars of US foreign policy. In light of the unfolding fracture between the US and its European allies over Ukraine, what lies ahead for NATO-Europe-US cooperation in the Indo-Pacific?
- Topic:
- NATO, International Cooperation, Geopolitics, Transatlantic Relations, and Military
- Political Geography:
- Europe, United States of America, and Indo-Pacific
19. Simul in the Middle East: Regional Strategic Ramifications of Israel and Hezbollah’s War
- Author:
- Boushra Jaber
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Belgrade Centre for Security Policy (BCSP)
- Abstract:
- This report aims to explore the background of the Hezbollah-Israel conflict and the context surrounding their most recent war. It argues that the causes and consequences of this war have both domestic and broader regional and international dimensions. The report underlines the significant ramifications of this war by analysing the origins, progression, and outcomes of the conflict at both domestic and regional levels, as well as its international resonance. Additionally, it presents policy recommendations to address these challenges, particularly in Lebanon, focusing on containing Hezbollah and strengthening state governance. Eventually, the report highlights two main findings: first, the conflict underscores the profound geopolitical interconnections within the Middle East, illustrating how instability in one nation can create a ripple effect throughout the region, ultimately impacting its overall stability. Second, it stresses the urgent need for carefully considered and well-informed policies to navigate the complexities and interdependencies inherent in the region.
- Topic:
- Geopolitics, Hezbollah, Armed Conflict, and Regional Politics
- Political Geography:
- Middle East, Israel, Palestine, and Lebanon
20. Collateral Effects of the Tariff War on ASEAN Food Security
- Author:
- Jose M. L. Montesclaros and Kayven Tan
- Publication Date:
- 04-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
- Abstract:
- The United States and China are locked in a cycle of escalating tariffs, with likely knock-on impacts on global food supplies and prices. In response to increases in tariff rates imposed by the US on China’s exports, China hit back with additional tariffs on US$21 billion worth of US agricultural products in March 2025. Beijing’s retaliatory tariffs will mean an additional 10 per cent tariff on soybeans, sorghum, beef, pork, aquatic and dairy products, fruits, and vegetables, and an additional 15 per cent tariff on wheat, corn, maize, and chicken from the US. Given the tense words exchanged by leaders and officials on both sides in recent days, neither side appears ready to back down from these trade measures. The food security concern for ASEAN states is whether the trade war will impact the supply and prices of food in a region where 37 per cent, or 251 million people, cannot afford a healthy diet. Many Asian states rely heavily on imports for their food. Wheat is used in household staples such as noodles and bread, while corn and soybeans are used for food and livestock feed.
- Topic:
- Food Security, Tariffs, Trade Wars, ASEAN, and Supply Chains
- Political Geography:
- China, Asia, and United States of America
21. Managing Global Biological Risks: Towards a Security-Health Coordination Framework
- Author:
- Jose M. L. Montesclaros, Jeselyn, and Mely Caballero-Anthony
- Publication Date:
- 04-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
- Abstract:
- The task of securing the world against biological risks is complicated by enforcement and information challenges. A security-health coordination framework is crucial for securing cooperation among a diverse set of actors with different but converging mandates.
- Topic:
- Security, Biosecurity, Crisis Management, Risk, Public Health, and COVID-19
- Political Geography:
- Global Focus
22. Protecting Food Security in the Face of Tariffs and Trade Wars
- Author:
- Paul Teng
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
- Abstract:
- The uncertainty caused by tariffs and trade disputes affects food security. Increases in geopolitical tensions will undermine the best plans to maintain global supply chains, encouraging countries to develop alternative ones. Consumers in Southeast Asia, even though far from the geographic areas of dispute, will ultimately suffer from interruptions in food availability and price hikes. National strategies to ensure food security are needed.
- Topic:
- Food Security, Tariffs, Trade Wars, and Supply Chains
- Political Geography:
- Asia and Southeast Asia
23. Biosecurity Awareness and Education in Southeast Asia
- Author:
- Julius Caesar Trajano and Jeselyn
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
- Abstract:
- ASEAN leaders recognise the critical importance of biosecurity. But there is a need to enhance the security culture and biosecurity awareness among life science, medical, and biotechnology professionals to mitigate the misuse of biological materials.
- Topic:
- Security, Education, Biosecurity, and Biotechnology
- Political Geography:
- Asia and Southeast Asia
24. California Wildfires and Planetary Health
- Author:
- Pey Peili
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
- Abstract:
- The California wildfires are an environmental disaster, but they also point to a deeper set of challenges, not only for the United States of America but for the global community. Such wildfires, which are ever-increasing in frequency and scale due to the impact of climate change, result in structural damage and long-term health risks that disproportionately affect vulnerable communities and are a costly burden to the state. A planetary health approach highlights the need for a more comprehensive understanding of the climate-environment-health interface in managing the risk and incidence of wildfires.
- Topic:
- Climate Change, Health, Natural Disasters, and Wildfires
- Political Geography:
- California, North America, and United States of America
25. To Vote or Not to Vote: Venezuelans Face Another Election Choice
- Author:
- Catherine Ellis
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- In the shadow of a contested presidential vote, Venezuela’s upcoming regional elections reveal more about power struggles than democratic representation.
- Topic:
- Elections, Domestic Politics, Representation, and Voting
- Political Geography:
- South America and Venezuela
26. Indigenous Women Survivors of Guatemala’s Rape Camps Seek Justice
- Author:
- Jo-Marie Burt, Paulo Estrada, and Eduardo Colindres
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Forty years after surviving state violence, Maya Achi women return to court to demand justice, challenging a long legacy of impunity for crimes against humanity.
- Topic:
- Rape, Sexual Violence, Accountability, Justice, and Crimes Against Humanity
- Political Geography:
- Central America and Guatemala
27. The Modern Surveillance State: Mexico and the CIA during the Cold War
- Author:
- Claire Dorfman
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Newly declassified CIA documents reveal the links between Mexico’s contemporary surveillance state and a uniquely close Cold War collaboration with U.S. intelligence agencies.
- Topic:
- Cold War, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)
- Political Geography:
- Latin America and Mexico
28. The Reinvention of the Strike: 10 Years of Feminist Uprising in Argentina
- Author:
- Verónica Gago and Linas Kojala
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- This year marks the 10-year anniversary of the Ni Una Menos movement. Understanding the tensions that mark these moments of intense rearrangements and changes in increasingly militarized capitalism is urgent.
- Topic:
- Capitalism, Protests, and Labor Strike
- Political Geography:
- Argentina and South America
29. Debates over TPS for Venezuelans Reveal Diasporic Divide
- Author:
- Francisco Llinas Casas and Erick Moreno Superlano
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- The battle over Temporary Protected Status provides a window into the class, racial, and political divisions within the Venezuelan diaspora in the United States.
- Topic:
- Politics, Race, Diaspora, Class, Immigration Policy, and Temporary Protection Status (TPS)
- Political Geography:
- South America and Venezuela
30. Honduran Farmers Continue Their Fight for Land and Justice
- Author:
- Jaime Jacques
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- After the murder of their leader, communities in the Aguán Valley have continued their fight against corruption, impunity, and the pollution of their lands.
- Topic:
- Justice, Land Rights, Pollution, and Activism
- Political Geography:
- Central America and Honduras
31. Cuerpx en Vela: Travesti Performance Against the Necro-State
- Author:
- Malú Machuca Rose
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Artist Germa Machuca uses her body as an altar and guiding light to illuminate the connections across anti-trans and anti-Indigenous violence in Peru.
- Topic:
- Arts, Violence, Indigenous, Transgender, and Travesti
- Political Geography:
- South America and Peru
32. At the Thresholds: Labor Organizing as Travesti-Trans Formal Workers in Argentina
- Author:
- Francisco Fernández Romero, Pato Laterra, and Victor Sánchez
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Travesti and trans workers in the formal sector expand imaginaries about the relationship between LGTBQ+ people and work, contributing to broader labor struggles for all of society.
- Topic:
- Labor Issues, LGBT+, Transgender, and Organizing
- Political Geography:
- Argentina and South America
33. For Trans Men in Colombia, All Cops Are Bastards
- Author:
- Nikita Dupuis-Vargas Latorre
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Violence against trans men by state forces is widespread—and little studied. The profiling inherent to mandatory military service only aggravates the problem.
- Topic:
- Violence, LGBT+, Police, Transgender, and Police Brutality
- Political Geography:
- Colombia and South America
34. Transfeminist Struggles Against Debt and Dispossession
- Author:
- Lucía Cavallero
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- In Argentina, sexual dissidents mobilize transversal alliances to denounce indebtedness as a tool of capitalist displacement and violence.
- Topic:
- Debt, Capitalism, Displacement, Feminism, Violence, and Transgender
- Political Geography:
- Argentina and South America
35. Community Forestry Addresses Environmental Destruction in Mexico
- Author:
- Linda Farthing
- Publication Date:
- 05-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Community-based governance structures put decision-making about Ixlán de Juarez’s forests into local hands, creating economic opportunity and reversing centuries of deforestation in the town.
- Topic:
- Environment, Governance, Deforestation, Forestry, and Community Initiatives
- Political Geography:
- Latin America and Mexico
36. Neofascist March Calls for the Expulsion of Haitians in Punta Cana
- Author:
- Simón Rodríguez
- Publication Date:
- 04-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- A recent violent and destructive march calling for the expulsion of Haitians in Punta Cana demonstrates the vehement anti-Haitianism and rising fascism prevalent in the Dominican Republic.
- Topic:
- Economics, Far Right, Migrant Workers, and Neofascism
- Political Geography:
- Latin America, Caribbean, Haiti, and Dominican Republic
37. El Salvador, No Place for Asylum Seekers
- Author:
- Laura Blume, Stephanie Sosa, and Andrea García Rodríguez
- Publication Date:
- 04-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Deported from the United States without due process, asylum seekers now face political persecution and deadly conditions in El Salvador’s mega-prisons as the Trump administration outsources cruelty to the Bukele regime.
- Topic:
- Prisons/Penal Systems, Donald Trump, Deportation, Due Process, Nayib Bukele, and Asylum Seekers
- Political Geography:
- Central America, El Salvador, and United States of America
38. Colombia's Just Energy Transition
- Author:
- Patricia Rodríguez
- Publication Date:
- 04-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- President Gustavo Petro is leading the way in promoting a fossil fuel phase-out in South America and beyond, but there are challenges and contradictions in Colombia’s actions at home.
- Topic:
- Climate Change, Fossil Fuels, and Energy Transition
- Political Geography:
- Colombia and South America
39. Tren de Aragua: A Gang, Not Terrorist Invaders
- Author:
- Elliott Young
- Publication Date:
- 04-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Trump’s use of the Alien Enemies Act to target Venezuelan migrants relies on a false narrative about Tren de Aragua and the Venezuelan state, and sets a dangerous precedent for immigrant rights.
- Topic:
- Immigration, Deportation, Gangs, and Tren de Aragua
- Political Geography:
- South America, Venezuela, and United States of America
40. Ecuador Enters "Trump Mode" with Noboa Victory
- Author:
- Ociel Alí López
- Publication Date:
- 04-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Authoritarian drift and political blackmail shape the runoff election in Ecuador, where incumbent President Daniel Noboa won Sunday’s vote.
- Topic:
- Authoritarianism, Elections, Domestic Politics, Democratic Backsliding, and Daniel Noboa
- Political Geography:
- Central America and Ecuador
41. The Life of a Trans Mexican Revolutionary, in Drag
- Author:
- Olivia Ferrari
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Drag performers mine the story of the revolutionary hero and trans icon Amelio Robles to better understand the past and shape the future.
- Topic:
- History, Transgender, Amelio Robles, Drag, and Mexican Revolution
- Political Geography:
- Latin America and Mexico
42. Can Democracy Stop Extractivism and Authoritarianism?
- Author:
- Paula Sevilla Núñez
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Ecuador’s electorate will go to a runoff vote in April in a highly polarized climate. At stake is a broader political struggle between authoritarianism and democracy.
- Topic:
- Authoritarianism, Elections, Democracy, and Extractivism
- Political Geography:
- Central America and Ecuador
43. Despite Regional Opposition, a Canadian Company Pursues Mining in Santander
- Author:
- Lital Khaikin
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- In the face of rifts over securitization issues and calls for conservation, Aris Mining intends to launch the Soto Norte mine in Santander, Colombia, in 2029.
- Topic:
- Environment, Mining, Conservation, and Securitization
- Political Geography:
- Canada, Colombia, and South America
44. In a Polarized Political Climate, Ecuador Heads to a Presidential Runoff
- Author:
- Marc Becker
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Ecuador held its general election on February 9. Defying the polls, Ecuadorians will be heading to a runoff race in April to choose its next president.
- Topic:
- Elections, Domestic Politics, and Polarization
- Political Geography:
- Central America and Ecuador
45. In the Face of Violence, Catatumbo’s Communities Call for Solidarity
- Author:
- Priscyll Anctil Avoine and Adriana Pérez-Rodríguez
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Failed peace negotiations and the battle for control over valuable territory have produced an unprecedented humanitarian catastrophe.
- Topic:
- Solidarity, Negotiation, Humanitarian Crisis, and FARC
- Political Geography:
- Colombia, South America, and Catatumbo
46. A Proposal for Plurinational Popular Power Woven from Below
- Author:
- Malvika Gupta
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Leonidas Iza, Ecuador’s presidential candidate with the Indigenous-aligned Pachakutik political movement, outlines his vision for governing a Plurinational State.
- Topic:
- Politics, Elections, Domestic Politics, Indigenous, and Plurinationalism
- Political Geography:
- Central America and Ecuador
47. Panama Canal Takeover: An Old Ghost in a Curious Present
- Author:
- Francisco Javier Bonilla
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Trump's threat to take back the Panama Canal signals a new era of U.S. expansionism and the greatest attack on Central American sovereignty since the 1990s.
- Topic:
- Sovereignty, Donald Trump, Panama Canal, and Expansionism
- Political Geography:
- Central America and Panama
48. The Forgotten Victims: Orphans of Femicide in Colombia
- Author:
- Anna Abraham, Tony Kirby, and David García
- Publication Date:
- 02-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- In the face of the femicide crisis in Colombia, a second crisis persists: hundreds of children are left orphaned each year and without support from the state.
- Topic:
- Crime, Children, Gender Based Violence, Femicide, and Orphans
- Political Geography:
- Colombia and South America
49. Trump and the Threat of Domestic Militarization
- Author:
- Dawn Paley and Ojalá
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Mexico's experience with the militarization of prohibition and migration is defined by violence and displacement.
- Topic:
- Migration, Displacement, Violence, Donald Trump, and Militarization
- Political Geography:
- Latin America and Mexico
50. The Disappearance of a Mapuche Elder is an Indictment of Chile’s “Progressive” Government
- Author:
- Carole Concha Bell
- Publication Date:
- 01-2025
- Content Type:
- Commentary and Analysis
- Institution:
- The North American Congress on Latin America (NACLA)
- Abstract:
- Activists link the disappearance of land defender Julia Chuñil to the state’s militarization of the region and its deep ties to rapacious forestry companies.
- Topic:
- Disappearance, Land Rights, Indigenous, Deforestation, and Mapuche
- Political Geography:
- South America and Chile