Content Type: Commentary and Analysis / Publishing Institution: Lowy Institute for International Policy / Political Geography: Asia-Pacific / Publication Year: within 5 Years / Topic: Political stability

Author:: Denise Fisher
Publication Date:: 05-2019
Content Type:: Commentary and Analysis
Institution:: Lowy Institute for International Policy
Abstract:: As 30 years of peace agreements come to an end, stability in New Caledonia is now at risk. New Caledonia faces an uncertain future as it prepares for its last local elections under the Noumea Accord, and as it enters a four-year process ending 30 years of peace agreements. The continued stark ethnic divide over independence revealed in the November 2018 referendum, the first of potentially three such votes, revives old tensions and complicates essential discussions about future governance, which will have consequences for France, Melanesian neighbours and the wider region. While strategically Australia benefits from continued French regional engagement, its support should not be at any cost.
Topic:: Foreign Policy, Elections, Political stability, and Referendum
Political Geography:: Australia, Asia-Pacific, New Caledonia, and Melanesia

Author:: Denise Fisher
Publication Date:: 05-2019
Content Type:: Commentary and Analysis
Institution:: Lowy Institute for International Policy
Abstract:: As 30 years of peace agreements come to an end, stability in New Caledonia is now at risk. New Caledonia faces an uncertain future as it prepares for its last local elections under the Noumea Accord, and as it enters a four-year process ending 30 years of peace agreements. The continued stark ethnic divide over independence revealed in the November 2018 referendum, the first of potentially three such votes, revives old tensions and complicates essential discussions about future governance, which will have consequences for France, Melanesian neighbours and the wider region. While strategically Australia benefits from continued French regional engagement, its support should not be at any cost.
Topic:: Foreign Policy, Elections, Political stability, and Referendum
Political Geography:: Australia, Asia-Pacific, New Caledonia, and Melanesia

Author:: James Chin
Publication Date:: 03-2019
Content Type:: Commentary and Analysis
Institution:: Lowy Institute for International Policy
Abstract:: In the aftermath of Malaysia’s momentous regime change, the new government faces a number of challenges to implementing wholesale political reform. Malaysia’s new government will need to deal with several key issues in the next 12 months to establish itself as a ‘change and reform’ administration, namely the Malay/Bumiputra Agenda, the 1963 Malaysia Agreement (MA63), political Islam, and a clear timetable for transition of power. Each of these issues is crucial to Malaysia’s political stability in the near term and to laying the foundation for long-term institutional reforms. If these reforms are not handled properly, the new Pakatan Harapan (Alliance of Hope) administration under Mahathir may be a one-term government and the country could easily revert to the old regime.
Topic:: Government, Politics, Regime Change, Reform, and Political stability
Political Geography:: Malaysia and Asia-Pacific

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