Publishing Institution: United States Institute of Peace / Political Geography: Syria / Topic: Bilateral Relations

Author:: Yigal Schleifer
Publication Date:: 10-2011
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: United States Institute of Peace
Abstract:: Turkish relations with the Syrian regime have developed at a dizzying pace over the last 15 years, going from outright hostility to close cooperation and back to estrangement. Prior to the current uprising, Turkey looked at Syria as a cornerstone in its plans to become a political, economic and “moral” leader in the Middle East. Ankara has deep concerns regarding developments in Syria, particularly in terms of the domestic repercussions of any Syrian political instability or social upheaval. These concerns shaped Ankara's initial caution in completely breaking with Damascus and could still limit the scope of Turkish action against the Assad regime.
Topic:: Regime Change and Bilateral Relations
Political Geography:: Turkey, Arabia, and Syria

Author:: Sean Kane and Elie Abouaoun
Publication Date:: 10-2011
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: United States Institute of Peace
Abstract:: Iraq's reaction to the popular uprising in Syria is mostly determined by the chaos its Shiite-led government believes would follow the sudden collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime. Baghdad possesses limited ability to influence the course of events in Syria, but is using this to provide modest support to the Assad regime. The fractured and sectarian nature of Iraqi politics, however, militates against Baghdad developing a decisive position on the way forward in Syria.
Topic:: Bilateral Relations and Sectarianism
Political Geography:: Middle East, Arabia, and Syria

Author:: Edward W. Gnehm Jr
Publication Date:: 11-2011
Content Type:: Policy Brief
Institution:: United States Institute of Peace
Abstract:: The Government of Jordan is deeply concerned about the turmoil in Syria, fearing the spillover effect and knowing Syria's historic capacity to undermine Jordanian internal stability. Initial official Jordanian reaction has been cautious, to avoid antagonizing Syria and provoking retaliation. There is great anxiety over what may follow the collapse of the Assad regime. Jordan is under increased pressure from both internal elements and external powers to toughen its public posture toward Damascus. Ultimately, Amman will react carefully to events in Syria, taking actions that best ensure the security of the state and the survival of the monarchy.
Topic:: Security, Regime Change, and Bilateral Relations
Political Geography:: Middle East, Arabia, and Syria

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