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The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
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Israel
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within 10 Years
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Terrorism
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- Author: Ehud Yaari
- Publication Date: 01-2014
- Content Type: Working Paper
- Institution: The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
- Abstract: With Israeli acquiescence to de facto alterations of the 1979 peace treaty, Egypt has deployed substantial military forces into the Sinai to combat terrorists. But Israel remains hesitant about Cairo's inclination to increase pressure on Hamas in Gaza. Over the past year, Israel and Egypt have used a little-known, legally permissible understanding -- the Agreed Activities Mechanism -- to bypass restrictions on the number and type of Egyptian forces permitted in much of the Sinai. In doing so, they have made de facto modifications to their 1979 peace treaty without resorting to the diplomatically risky procedure of "reviewing" the treaty itself. As a result, considerable Egyptian army forces are now constantly deployed in central and eastern Sinai (Areas B and C of the peninsula, respectively), in a manner and scope never envisaged by the teams that negotiated the treaty more than three decades ago. Going forward, this new reality on the ground is unlikely to be reversed and is bound to have profound consequences for Egyptian-Israeli security cooperation, Cairo's ongoing counterterrorism campaign, and the fate of Hamas in the neighboring Gaza Strip.
- Topic: Regional Cooperation, Terrorism, Military Strategy
- Political Geography: Middle East, Israel, Gaza, Egypt, Sinai Peninsula, Cairo
- Author: Ehud Yaari, Michael Morell
- Publication Date: 05-2014
- Content Type: Working Paper
- Institution: The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
- Abstract: A CIA veteran and an Israeli security expert discuss the growing presence of al-Qaeda affiliates in Sinai and Syria.
- Topic: Terrorism, International Security, Armed Struggle
- Political Geography: Middle East, Israel